Next week on the stock market

Aarin Chiekrie | 1 September 2023

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Next week on the stock market

What to expect from a selection of FTSE 100, FTSE 250 and selected other companies reporting next week:

  • Demand outlook will be crucial to a positive market reaction for Currys
  • Volumes and prices in focus for DS Smith
  • Can Vistry keep guidance intact, despite a challenging backdrop?


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Among those currently scheduled to release results next week:

*Events on which we will be updating investors.

04-Sept
No FTSE 350 Reporters
05-Sept
Ashtead Group* Q1 Results
DS Smith* Q1 Trading Statement
06-Sept
Apax Global Alpha Half Year Results
Ashmore Group Full Year Results
Bakkavor Half Year Results
Barratt Developments* Full Year Results
Darktrace Full Year Results
Halfords  Trading Statement
WH Smith Trading Statement
07-Sept
Beazley Half Year Results
Currys* Trading Statement
Direct Line Insurance Group* Half Year Results
Energean Half Year Results
Genus Full Year Results
International Public Partnerships Half Year Results
Melrose* Half Year Results
Playtech Half Year Results
Safestore Holdings Q3 Trading Statement
Synthomer Half Year Results
WAG Payment Solutions Half Year Results
08-Sep
Berkeley Group* Trading Statement
Computacenter Half Year Results
Petershill Partners Half Year Results
Spire Healthcare Half Year Results

Currys - Sophie Lund-Yates, Lead Equity Analyst

Currys has had a tough year so far, with the valuation shedding 13% since January. The group specialises in selling electrical and home goods, and times are tough. The cost-of-living crisis and slowdown compared to the frenzied buying of chest freezers during the pandemic have seen performance slow. But it’s margins in particular we’ll be watching next week. Operating margins are languishing in the region of 2%, which leaves very little room for error.

Because it’s a trading statement rather than a full set of results, we might not get explicit margin information, but we should get an idea of what the future holds.

Getting margins out the basement partly rests on the shoulders of prices. Online competition means Currys is often forced to “invest in pricing”, which is a fancy way of saying it gets the sale stickers out. We’d like to know more about the group’s demand expectations as we head into the winter quarter. It might not feel like it, but the all-important Christmas trading season is only around the corner and it’s about now that retailers will be trying to map exactly what the season will mean for revenue and profit.

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DS Smith – Matt Britzman, Equity Analyst

For cardboard box provider DS Smith, it’s volumes and pricing updates that we’ll be looking out for in next week’s trading statement. Volumes took a larger hit than expected last year as economic conditions were a challenge and end-consumer demand dropped. We heard from management that trends were improving, next week will shed light on whether that has continued over the quarter or not.

Valuations across the packaging sector have been under pressure recently, as markets weigh up the extent of the volume issues and the balancing act at play with prices. Hikes and cost cuts are the main reason DS Smith was able to post strong profit growth last year. Since then, we’ve seen paper prices come down and are expecting to hear box pricing following suit. The scale of any declines will likely be key, as will any impact on the prices it’s able to charge customers.

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Vistry – Aarin Chiekrie, Equity Analyst

Despite the challenging environment for UK housebuilders, we’ve heard that Vistry’s average weekly sales rates held broadly flat in the first half. And the group’s Partnerships division, which includes a contribution from recently acquired Countryside, for the first time, saw completions nearly treble to 3,203. That’s the driving force behind Vistry guiding for underlying revenue to jump from £426m to £930m in next week’s first-half results.

But with recent increases in interest rates and mortgage costs, challenges look set to mount for buyers. We’ll be keeping an eye out for updates to the full-year outlook, which had been expecting underlying pre-tax profits to land in above £450m.

The balance sheet’s also a key area of interest. Last we heard, Vistry had swung from a £115m net cash position to a £330m net debt position, as it looks to drive growth in its Partnerships business. But as cash resources get stretched, the group’s 6.2% prospective dividend yield could get pulled back as spending priorities change. As always yields are variable and not a reliable indicator of future income.

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Unless otherwise stated estimates are a consensus of analyst forecasts provided by Refinitiv. These estimates are not a reliable indicator of future performance. Past performance is not a guide to the future. Investments rise and fall in value so investors could make a loss.

This article is not advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any investment. No view is given on the present or future value or price of any investment, and investors should form their own view on any proposed investment. This article has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is considered a marketing communication. Non-independent research is not subject to FCA rules prohibiting dealing ahead of research, however HL has put controls in place (including dealing restrictions, physical and information barriers) to manage potential conflicts of interest presented by such dealing. Please see our full non-independent research disclosure for more information.

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